Figure 6. Temblor calculated the shaking caused by 50,000 years of simulated earthquakes (called a ‘stochastic event set’), with the goal to capture all possible quakes at their likely frequencies of occurrence. This calculation was needed to price Vanuatu’s earthquake insurance policy. After the 17 December 2024 earthquake, we sifted through our event set and found an event of the same magnitude, depth and location as the actual event (left panel). The modeled shaking from our event set quake had similar shaking to the USGS model for the actual event (right panel). Credit: Temblor, CC BY-NC-ND 4.0