Figure 5. Earthquake forecast for the month starting April 1 (top panel) is based on how stress imparted by the 28 March 2025 rupture enhances or suppresses the ‘background’ or long-term seismicity rate (lower panel). The long-term rate is derived from GEAR1 (Bird et al., 2015). The strongest forecasted rate increases lie close to the 2025 rupture, but there are smaller increases and decreases surrounding the 2025 rupture. Credit: Temblor, CC BY-NC-ND 4.0